85th Academy Awards

[Holhol]

Here's something something almost none of you care about, but I'm here to make a topic of it anyways. The 85th Academy Awards are approaching, and the purpose of this topic is to discuss likely winners of each category.

Here's a timeline of events (from Wikipedia, of course ):

• Thursday, January 3, 2013 - Nominations polls close at 5:00 p.m. PST (01:00, 4 Jan. UTC) (8:00 p.m. EST)
• Thursday, January 10, 2013 - Nominations announced at 5:30 a.m. PST (13:30 UTC) (8:30 a.m. EST) at the Samuel Goldwyn Theater
• Monday, February 4, 2013 - Nominees Luncheon
• Friday, February 8, 2013 - Final voting begins
• Saturday, February 9, 2013 - Scientific and Technical Achievement Awards presentation
• Tuesday, February 19, 2013 - Final polls close at 5:00 p.m. PST (01:00, February 21 UTC) (8:00 p.m. EST)
• Sunday, February 24, 2013 - 85th Annual Academy Awards presentation

AND HERE ARE YOUR NOMINEES...

Nominees:

• Amour
• Argo
• Beasts of the Southern Wild
• Django Unchained
• Life of Pi
• Lincoln
• Les Misérables
• Silver Linings Playbook
• Zero Dark Thirty

Personal Pick:

• Lincoln

Possible Upsets:

• Beasts of the Southern Wild
• Les Misérables

Nominees:

• Michael Haneke – Amour
• Ang Lee – Life of Pi
• David O. Russell – Silver Linings Playbook
• Steven Spielberg – Lincoln
• Benh Zeitlin – Beasts of the Southern Wild

Personal Pick:

• Benh Zeitlin – Beasts of the Southern Wild

Possible Upsets:

• Michael Haneke – Amour

Nominees:

• Bradley Cooper - Silver Linings Playbook
• Daniel Day-Lewis - Lincoln
• Hugh Jackman – Les Misérables
• Joaquin Phoenix – The Master
• Denzel Washington – Flight

Personal Pick:

• Daniel Day-Lewis - Lincoln

Possible Upsets:

• Hugh Jackman – Les Misérables

Nominees:

• Jessica Chastain – Zero Dark Thirty
• Jennifer Lawrence – Silver Linings Playbook
• Emmanuelle Riva – Amour
• Quvenzhané Wallis – Beasts of the Southern Wild
• Naomi Watts – The Impossible

Personal Pick:

• Jennifer Lawrence – Silver Linings Playbook

Possible Upsets:

• Jessica Chastain – Zero Dark Thirty

Nominees:

• Alan Arkin – Argo
• Robert De Niro – Silver Linings Playbook
• Philip Seymour Hoffman – The Master
• Tommy Lee Jones – Lincoln
• Christoph Waltz – Django Unchained

Nominees:

• Amy Adams – The Master
• Sally Field – Lincoln
• Anne Hathaway – Les Misérables
• Helen Hunt – The Sessions
• Jacki Weaver – Silver Linings Playbook

Personal Pick:

• Anne Hathaway – Les Misérables

Possible Upsets:

• Sally Field – Lincoln

Nominees:

• Brave
• Frankenweenie
• ParaNorman
• The Pirates! Band of Misfits
• Wreck-It Ralph

Personal Pick:

• Frankenweenie

Possible Upsets:

• ParaNorman
• Wreck-It Ralph

[Gumpei]

I actually completely agree with your predictions for the Best Picture nominations. Those 10 will definitely be it (your frontrunners + likely nominations, that is). The only other one that I think might have a chance at making it in is Holy Motors, though I can't see any of those 10 not making the cut, so I don't find that likely.

Zero Dark Thirty is most likely to take home Best Picture, Best Actress (Jessica Chastain) and Best Director (Kathryn Bigelow). Daniel Day Lewis will likely get Best Actor for Lincoln (a nice personal surprise for me would be if Jack Black gets nominated for Bernie or Dane DeHaan for Chronicle).

Supporting Actress I'm betting will go to Anne Hathaway for Les Misérables. Jennifer Lawrence is also a possibility for Silver Linings Playbook. Supporting Actor is... hm. That one's kind of up in the air for me. Nothing particularly stands out.

I'm willing to bet that Life of Pi will be netting all of the "Inception Awards" this year. That is to say, the technical ones.

Other than that... GO DJANGO FOR THE UPSET!

[Holhol]

Zero Dark Thirty is most likely to take home Best Picture, Best Actress (Jessica Chastain) and Best Director (Kathryn Bigelow). Daniel Day Lewis will likely get Best Actor for Lincoln (a nice personal surprise for me would be if Jack Black gets nominated for Bernie or Dane DeHaan for Chronicle).

Supporting Actress I'm betting will go to Anne Hathaway for Les Misérables. Jennifer Lawrence is also a possibility for Silver Linings Playbook. Supporting Actor is... hm. That one's kind of up in the air for me. Nothing particularly stands out.

Jennifer Lawrence has been nominated for all the Best Actress awards this season, not Best Supporting Actress. She is rather likely to be nominated and win the Best Actress category.

Also, I must say, I feel as if it's more likely that Lincoln will win Best Picture with Spielberg getting Best Director. But you never knooooow~

EDIT: Updated the list with Best Director, Actor, Actress, and Animated Feature.

[energizerspark]

I hope Skyfall gets some sort of award. Best Theme Music? Is that a thing...

[Gumpei]

I hope Skyfall gets some sort of award. Best Theme Music? Is that a thing...

Actually, yeah, I believe Adele's been nominated for Skyfall. Will probably win. Definitely deserves to.

[Holhol]

I hope Skyfall gets some sort of award. Best Theme Music? Is that a thing...

That'd be under Best Original Song, and I think it might actually have some competition with Safe & Sound and, of course, some Les Mis song xP

EDIT: Best Supporting Actor/Actress added.

[kwando1313]

Actually, I'm not too sure if Les Mis would be allowed to be a "Best Original Song", since it's based on a musical, right?

[Holhol]

Actually, I'm not too sure if Les Mis would be allowed to be a "Best Original Song", since it's based on a musical, right?

Suddenly is eligible because it's an original song to the movie, though it probably won't win. xP

If I Dreamed a Dream was eligible, though... whoa. You could count anything else out.

[Hodou Okappa]

Ugh... It's not that Les Mis looks bad to me, but it just annoys me that everybody working on that movie seems to be gunning for an Oscar. I just hate when people pander to the Academy instead of just trying to make a good movie. Almost as much as I hate movies based on well-known musicals.

I have a similar complaint about Lincoln but, given the people involved, feel that its Oscars would be more deserved.

Zero Dark Thirty, I just have all sorts of political objections to. And Life of Pi I'm biased against because I despised the book. I'm actually pretty sure it's a good movie, I just couldn't possibly enjoy it; Yann Martel should just win an award for Smarmiest, Most Obnoxious Author's Voice Ever.

I guess there just aren't many movies I'm rooting for, this year. Argo should win something maybe.

[Holhol]

Ugh... It's not that Les Mis looks bad to me, but it just annoys me that everybody working on that movie seems to be gunning for an Oscar. I just hate when people pander to the Academy instead of just trying to make a good movie. Almost as much as I hate movies based on well-known musicals.

I have a similar complaint about Lincoln but, given the people involved, feel that its Oscars would be more deserved.

... Explain?

[Gumpei]

He just doesn't like movies that are clear Oscar bait, and admittedly, that's what Les Mis is, along with stuff like Lincoln. (Doesn't necessarily make them bad, mind you.)

And... political objections? ZDT takes a pretty neutral approach to just about everything.

And Hodou, DJANGO

ROOT FOR DJANGO

[Holhol]

And Hodou, SILVER LININGS PLAYBOOK

ROOT FOR SILVER LININGS PLAYBOOK

fix'd

[gotMLK7]

Okay, Tommy Lee Jones must win Best Suporting Actor, because Thaddeus Stevens was AWESOME in Lincoln. I actually got excited hwen I saw him in my history book just because of that movie. So yeah, he's got my hypothetical vote.

[Holhol]

I'll update the OP later, but nominees have been announced. Probably one of the most unexpected surprised was Amour, a French-language film, grabbing a Best Picture and Best Actress nomination in addition to Best Foreign Language Film. Guess we have our winner in the latter category.

Quvenzhané Wallis also has become the youngest actress nominated for Best Actress. Technically speaking, she is the youngest ever - she was 6 when Beasts of the Southern Wild was made.

That's all for right now.

[Holhol]

Legal double post!!!

Update OP with nominations and own personal picks for winner.

Spoiler : Here's the original OP for self-reference :

Here's something something almost none of you care about, but I'm here to make a topic of it anyways. The 85th Academy Awards are approaching, and the purpose of this topic is to discuss likely winners of each category.

Here's a timeline of events (from Wikipedia, of course ):

• Thursday, January 3, 2013 - Nominations polls close at 5:00 p.m. PST (01:00, 4 Jan. UTC) (8:00 p.m. EST)
• Thursday, January 10, 2013 - Nominations announced at 5:30 a.m. PST (13:30 UTC) (8:30 a.m. EST) at the Samuel Goldwyn Theater
• Monday, February 4, 2013 - Nominees Luncheon
• Friday, February 8, 2013 - Final voting begins
• Saturday, February 9, 2013 - Scientific and Technical Achievement Awards presentation
• Tuesday, February 19, 2013 - Final polls close at 5:00 p.m. PST (01:00, February 21 UTC) (8:00 p.m. EST)
• Sunday, February 24, 2013 - 85th Annual Academy Awards presentation

At present, the nominations have yet to be announced. For the time being, we can use this thread for pure speculation for who/what will be nominated. Each section will include my own personal opinions, as well.

NOTE: Number of nominees can range from 5 to 10. Films need a minimum of 5% of the vote to be eligible to be nominated for this category.

Frontrunners

• Lincoln
• Zero Dark Thirty
• Les Misérables

Likely Nominations

• Argo
• Silver Linings Playbook
• Life of Pi
• Beasts of the Southern Wild
• Moonrise Kingdom
• Django Unchained
• The Master

Potentials/Long-shots

• Salmon Fishing in the Yemen
• The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel

Frontrunners

• Steven Spielberg - Lincoln
• Kathryn Bigelow - Zero Dark Thirty

Likely Nominations

• Ben Affleck - Argo
• Ang Lee - Life of Pi
• Quentin Tarantino - Django Unchained

Potentials/Long-shots

• Tom Hooper - Les Misérables
• Wes Anderson - Moonrise Kingdom
• John Madden - The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel

Frontrunners

• Daniel Day-Lewis - Lincoln as Abraham Lincoln
• Hugh Jackman - Les Misérables as Jean Valjean

Likely Nominations

• Bradley Cooper - Silver Linings Playback as Pat Solitano
• John Hawkes - The Sessions as Mark O'Brien
• ???

Potentials/Long-shots

• Denzel Washington - Flight as Whip Whitaker
• Jack Black - Bernie as Bernie Tiede
• Anthony Hopkins - Hitchcock as Alfred Hitchcock

Frontrunners

• Jennifer Lawrence - Silver Linings Playbook as Tiffany Maxwell
• Jessica Chastain - Zero Dark Thirty as Maya

Likely Nominations

• Helen Mirren - Hitchcock as Alma Reville
• Naomi Watts - The Impossible as Maria
• Marion Cotillard - Rust and Bone as Stephanie

Potentials/Long-shots

• Meryl Streep – Hope Springs as Kay Soames
• Judi Dench – The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel as Evelyn Greenslade
• Quvenzhané Wallis - Beasts of the Southern Wild as Hushpuppy

Frontrunners

• Phillip Seymour Hoffman – The Master as Lancaster Dodd
• Tommy Lee Jones – Lincoln as Thaddeus Stevens

Likely Nominations

• Alan Arkin – Argo as Lester Siegel
• Leonardo DiCaprio – Django Unchained as Calvin J. Candie
• Robert De Niro - Silver Linings Playbook as Pat Solitano Sr.

Potentials/Long-shots

• Javier Bardem - Skyfall as Raoul Silva
• Christoph Waltz – Django Unchained as Dr. King Schultz

Frontrunner

• Anne Hathaway - Les Misérables as Fantine

Likely Nominations

• Sally Field – Lincoln as Mary Todd Lincoln
• Helen Hunt – The Sessions as Cheryl Cohen Greene
• Nicole Kidman – The Paperboy as Charlotte Bless
• Maggie Smith - The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel as Muriel Donnelly

Potentials/Long-shots

• Amy Adams – The Master as Peggy Dodd

Frontrunner

• Frankenweenie

Likely Nominations

• Brave
• Rise of the Guardians
• ParaNorman
• Wreck-It Ralph